Usually CFD traders depend on a trading system for all their trades. There are different types of systems available of which some are completely mechanical and can be customized and backtested. Also it is to be mentioned that not all systems are equally efficient.
You can choose a profitable trading system with less drawdown by backtesting a number of systems. There are some other trading systems available that are part discretionary. However, this does not necessarily means there is no systematic approach available. Despite these systems not being fully mechanical, there is still a step by step systematic approach that has been proven to be profitable. These systems can be learnt from some other trader who has already traded the system effectively. A trading system will help you to make profit consistently and monitor your trading performance and usually helps to keep emotions out of the business.
Definition of CFD trading system: A trading system is a set of rules that determines how you will execute each and every trade in the market. In case of a mechanical system, you can write down the whole trading plan and some other trader can follow your developed system as well. This is very much possible because the system is entirely mechanical and a CFD will either pass or reject the rules, the ones that you have developed. You can efficiently program your very own trading system with the help of trading software like WealthLab, Metastock & TradeSim or TradeStation. After developing the system, you can backtest it against historical data (say the data of the last 10 years CFD trading) to see how it performs. And after testing multiple systems, you can choose the most profitable one which doesn’t come up with a significant level of drawdown. The whole concept is very much interesting and attractive considering the fact that with the help of the right resource, simply anyone can develop his/her own system and backtest it to figure out its effectivity.
Any CFD trading system executes three important things:
There is another term called win-loss ratio that refers to how many wins a trader gained in comparison to his losses. A trading system can still proven to be profitable with a modest win-loss ratio if the profit-loss ratio remains at a good position. By multiplying the win-loss ratio with profit-loss ratio, you get profitability ratio. As long as it is higher than 1, you can consider the system as a profitable one. For example, for the last case, beside the profit-loss ratio of 5, if a trader has 40% wins and 60% loss in his trades, his win-loss ratio would be 0.66. So his profitability ratio is going to be, 5 x 0.66 = 3.3. This is the basic principle that determines whether a system is profitable or not. However, you need to keep this in mind that having positive results from backtesting doesn’t guarantee similar result for future.
Elements and factors that a mechanical CFD trading system should specify:
The stop that moves as the trade goes in the direction of your trade (up for long trades) and exits you from positions when the trade eventually turns against the direction of the trade is called trailing stop. This is something allows the profit to run and preserves it as well.
While backtesting your system, in order to find out the effects on historical profits and losses, you will have to test your system with a money management model. You will have to select the right risk model that will best suit your system. It is important that you look for your own financial advice before entering the market for trading.